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Forecast
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Current Conditions
Elk River West

Temp: 0.0°F
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Elk River West , NC
West end of the Elk River Airport (farthest from Banner Elk)

Forecast Last Updated at Thursday, February 9, 2023 at 6:53AM

Spotty Light rain; Mild Temperatures; Super Sunday Snow

A front moves through from from northwest to southeast this evening. We have clouds, spotty light rain, and mild temperatures today. Friday is partly cloudy, only slightly cooler, and dry. The "fun" comes this weekend as an upper-level low moves across the Southeast Saturday spawning a surface low along the Carolina Coast Sunday. Skies become cloudy Saturday with cooler temperatures. While there's still considerable uncertainty with the detailed tracking of that upper-level low (and that will determine our outcome), there's no reason to change the basic plot we laid out yesterday--snow developing Saturday night and continuing through Sunday evening. Moderate accumulations are expected. We'll know more details as we get closer to the event.

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Thursday

Hi: 56 Lo: 38

Mostly cloudy; Mild temperatures; Spotty light rain; SW wind 5-15 mph but gusty, becoming NW 10-20 mph tonight
Friday

Hi: 51 Lo: 31

Partly to mostly cloudy; Still relatively mild; NW wind 5-15 mph
Saturday

Hi: 42 Lo: 28

Becoming cloudy; Snow developing Sat. night, possibly beginning briefly as light rain in valleys; NW wind 5-15 mph in the AM, becoming light East
Sunday

Hi: 33 Lo: 27

Cloudy; Snow through evening
Monday

Hi: 48 Lo: 29

Mostly sunny Quickly warmer

Further Out

Tuesday - Increasing clouds; Mild temperatures; Rain Tue. night; High in the upper 40s; Low in the mid 30s
Wednesday - Partly cloudy; Relatively mild; High in the lower 50s; Low near 40 degrees

Forecast Discussion

If you read the forecast yesterday, nothing changes in what's below.

A front moves through this evening, producing spotty light rain today with mild temperatures. Friday is only slightly cooler with more sun and dry weather.

An upper-level low develops in the Southeast Saturday, eventually moving across South Carolina. It spawns a surface low along the Carolina Coast Sunday. A 50-100 mile difference in the track of that upper-level low will make a world of difference in our weather Saturday night and Sunday; so, uncertainty level remains relatively high, but I'm encouraged by the level of consistency in computer guidance between yesterday and today. I hope it stays that way, but "never trust a closed low."

Saturday is much cooler with skies becoming overcast. Snow develops Saturday night (some front-running moisture might produce a little snow Saturday afternoon). Precipitation could even start as brief light rain in valleys. Snow continues Sunday, ending Sunday evening. Plowable accumulations are expected. For now, take deep breaths (in through the nose, out through the mouth), stretch, and stay loose.

Temperatures warm quickly Monday under mostly clear skies. The next front from the west arrives Tuesday night. Clouds increase Tuesday with rain Tuesday night. Wednesday looks partly cloudy and milder.

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