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Current Conditions

Temp: 46.2°F
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Newland , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Thursday, October 2, 2014 at 7:29AM

Nice Thursday; Big Change Coming

Temperatures today will reach the 70s for most of the region (60s on mountaintops). Enjoy it because we will not be able to say that again in the foreseeable future. A front moves trough Friday with showers (maybe an afternoon thundershower). Cold air arrives Saturday in breezy NW winds. High temperatures Saturday will be in the morning; they will be steady or fall from there. Frost and freezing temperatures will be possible late Saturday night into early Sunday morning. Sunday will be a step milder, but valley frost is possible again Sunday night. (If you are wondering... this is about average for the date of first frost. See our Frost and Freeze Information for details.)

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Hi: 74 Lo: 53

Early patchy fog then lots of sun; Pleasant temps; South wind 5-10 mph (but 10-20 mph at higher elev's tonight)

Hi: 67 Lo: 46

Cloudy; Showers (maybe a t-shower); South wind 5-15 mph (but SW 10-20 mph at higher elev's)

Hi: 50 Lo: 33

Mostly cloudy start with light showers possible; Then partly cloudy; Steady or falling temps; Freezing temps possible Sat night; NW wind 10-20 mph, gusty at times

Hi: 55 Lo: 35

Mostly sunny; Valley frost possible Sun. night; Chilly

Hi: 64 Lo: 45

Scattered daytime clouds; More clouds Mon. night; Warmer after a chilly start

Further Out

Tuesday - Cloudy; Showers; High near 60 degrees; Low in the mid 40s
Wednesday - Mostly to partly cloudy; Temperatures near seasonal norms; High in the mid 60s; Low in the mid 40s

Forecast Discussion

It's Fall; so, you know the warm, pleasant weather of the past couple days can't last forever. But maybe you didn't expect the abrupt change arriving this weekend...

First, Thursday is terrific. Enjoy!

A front moves through from the west Friday with clouds and showers. A thundershower is possible in the afternoon. Showers continue into Friday night.

The really cold air will lag behind the front several hours, arriving Saturday morning. A shower is possible early Saturday with the arrival of that colder air, especially on the west side of the Appalachians. Sunshine will increase Saturday after a mostly cloudy start; however, temperatures will be steady or fall through the day. A NW wind will be quite breezy.

Saturday night is complicated regarding frost and freezing conditions. I think mountaintops go below freezing (that's a fairly safe bet). Valley frost will depend on wind--if the wind settles, then deeper valleys will see frost.

Sunday is mostly clear with chilly temperatures. Valley frost is possible again Sunday night.

Monday will be somewhat warmer after a chilly start with ample sunshine.

Computer guidance differs greatly for Tuesday and Wednesday resulting in a low-confidence forecast. We sided with the wetter/cooler solution since it's been the more consistent result. A front arrives Tuesday, possibly with Gulf moisture involved. Wednesday has clearing skies with temperatures rebounding to seasonal norms.


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