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NWS Flood Watch (Avery County)

Current Conditions

Temp: 49.5°F
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Crossnore , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Tuesday, December 1, 2015 at 7:05AM

Heavier Rain Late Today and Tonight

This morning and early afternoon is our "lull" in the action. Lull meaning, light rain or drizzle and a continuation of patchy dense fog. Heavier rain arrives by mid-afternoon and continues through early Wednesday afternoon. Another couple of inches area wide is the general rule of thumb with locally higher amounts. A cold front ushers the rain eastwards Wednesday evening with leftover moisture ending as flurries or high elevation snow showers early Thursday morning (some excitement, nothing impressive). Thereafter it remains dry and seasonal for the rest of the week and weekend, hooray!

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Hi: 54 Lo: 48

Rainy with areas of thick fog; Light SW wind, except 10-20 & gusty up top

Hi: 56 Lo: 29

Daytime rain; Turning colder at night with flurries; West wind 10-20 mph becoming NW with gusts to 35 mph Wed. night

Hi: 40 Lo: 23

Morning flurries; Decreasing PM clouds; Much colder; NW wind 10-20 mph and gusty early

Hi: 46 Lo: 22

Mix of clouds and sun; cool

Hi: 48 Lo: 25

Generally clear; Seasonable temperatures

Further Out

Sunday - Mostly sunny; Milder; High in the lower 50s; Low in the upper 20s
Monday - Scattered clouds; Pleasant; High in the lower 50s; Low near 30 degrees

Forecast Discussion

The chilly high pressure wedge has begun to erode leading to increasing temperatures overnight into this morning. That said, temperatures don't rise much from morning lows and generally hold steady again tonight. Another wave of rain, this time a bit heavier, is waiting in the wings moving east from the TN valley just ahead of a cold front that passes Wednesday evening. Steady rain arrives by mid to late afternoon. In the meantime fog continues to be an issue with spotty drizzle or light rain around this morning.

A solid round of rain continues tonight through early Wednesday afternoon. We'll experience a little bump in daytime temperatures Wednesday ahead of the cold front with a quick fall Wednesday night. As colder air rushes over the mountains on a gusty northwest wind a few flurries or mountain top light snow is possible early Thursday morning. Like last time it still isn't enough to warrant the Snowman-O-Mometer. Sunshine returns for the afternoon with temperatures staying on the seasonally cool side for a change.

High pressure takes the helm Friday through the weekend. We'll enjoy a nice stretch of dry weather with pleasant afternoons and chilly nights. (Good radiational cooling conditions will allow for valleys to be colder than ridges at night). It will actually feel like December!


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