NWS Flood Watch (Avery County)

Current Conditions
Crossnore

Temp: 48.0°F

Forecast Last Updated at Tuesday, April 24, 2018 at 12:27PM

Not As Wet Today

The good news is the deluge that got into full swing yesterday afternoon is on a downhill slide. Rainfall amounts lived up to billing with the higher 5" totals coming to fruition along the Blue Ridge escarpment. We'll still contend with moderate to heavier showers at times today, but they are much more intermittent. Tomorrow is another step less cool and less showery. However, it's Friday before we completely dry out.

Merlefest is on our minds and in our schedules Thursday through Sunday. Weather for the festival looks good overall--cooler than average; however, scattered showers will threaten the PM hours Thursday then it's smooth sailing. For details about Merlefest weather, see our Hour-by-Hour Merlefest Forecast.

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Tuesday Hi: 53 Lo: 44 Cloudy & Cool; Areas of fog; Showers; East wind 5-15 mph, becoming NW Tue. night

Wednesday Hi: 59 Lo: 38 Generally cloudy; Lingering showers; Not as chilly; NW wind 5-15 mph

Thursday Hi: 58 Lo: 39 Lots of clouds; Scattered PM showers; SW wind 5-15 mph

Friday Hi: 62 Lo: 38 Partly cloudy; Much improved

Saturday Hi: 62 Lo: 38 Lots of sunshine; Temperatures slightly below seasonal norms

Further Out

Sunday - Clear; Well-earned pleasant weather; High in the lower 60s; Low in the upper 30s
Monday - Sunny; Very nice; A tad warmer; High in the mid 60s; Low in the lower 40s

Forecast Discussion

A slow moving upper level low lumbers from the TN Valley today, over the Carolinas tonight, and then up the East Coast Wednesday. The axis of steady, heavier rain shifts east with the low. That means we'll see improvements beginning today as showers become more intermittent. On the backside of the departing low tomorrow a moist northwest flow keeps the clouds and widely scattered showers around. Again, today is better than yesterday, Wednesday is less wet than today.

If only we were done... another upper level low moves through the Southeast Thursday. Fortunately this one is faster. Scattered showers return Thursday afternoon and depart Thursday night. A cool front comes through Friday and we're more confident now it will not have any rain consequences.

High pressure builds this weekend eventually reaching the western Atlantic early next week. Expect ample sunshine beginning Friday afternoon through the weekend. Temperatures rebound to pleasant levels though a tad shy of late April standards. Further out, once the high is comfortably to the east a pronounced warming trend commences Tuesday.

Of course, many of us will spend lots of time this weekend at Merlefest. Clothing selection should account for pleasant days, cool nights, and the potential for scattered PM showers Thursday. Beyond Thursday, the remainder of the festival is dry and fabulous.

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