NWS Special Weather Statement (Avery County)

Current Conditions
Crossnore

Temp: 21.0°F

Forecast Last Updated at Monday, January 27, 2020 at 4:32PM

Elevation Dependent Snow

It's a busy week in the weather department until next Sunday. Today's disruptive weather was a player for higher elevations where it turned into a winter wonderland above 4500'. The rest of us experienced the joys of drab grey and a cold rain. Snow levels dropped late this afternoon and under the cloak of darkness a dusting is fair game across the board before tapering to flurries and ending after midnight.
Tuesday and Wednesday are quietly chilly with more light snow making an appearance Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

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Partly cloudy
Temperatures near 35
Light wind

Monday Hi: 38 Lo: 25 Cloudy; Flurries to light snow at times and ending after midnight; NW wind 5-15 mph, gusty

Tuesday Hi: 40 Lo: 24 Partly cloudy; Chilly; NW wind 5-15 mph

Wednesday Hi: 40 Lo: 25 Generally cloudy; Evening flurries going to light snow overnight; Light wind

Thursday Hi: 39 Lo: 27 Mostly cloudy; Lingering early day snow showers and flurries; Chilly

Friday Hi: 42 Lo: 27 Increasing clouds; Rain or a wintry mix possible Fri. night

Further Out

Saturday - Cloudy; Rain or a wintry mix possible changing to snow and ending late Saturday night; High in the lower 40s; Low in the upper 20s
Sunday - Partly cloudy; Seasonal; High in the mid 40s; Low near 30 degrees

Forecast Discussion

The last week of January lives up to its billing in some regards with plenty of excitement. However, there's more talk than action outside of the higher elevations. Two fast disturbances produces wintry precipitation Monday and again Wednesday night into Thursday. The final disturbance is potentially a little more robust Friday night into Saturday and Saturday night, but the details still remain somewhat of a mystery... don't get your hopes up.

Snow levels drop this evening from the higher elevations all the way to the valleys. Additional/initial accumulations are limited to a dusting since it's the tail end of the moisture. Light snow/flurries end after midnight.

Tuesday and Wednesday are quiet. Another disturbance moves along the Gulf Coast Wednesday with the northern extent of moisture stretching into the region Wednesday night. Flurries develop Wednesday evening with light snow ending Thursday morning or midday Thursday. This round is not elevation dependent as there is plenty of cold air, but it's fast. If we're lucky it's just enough to get the sleds out :-).

A much more potent area of low pressure develops in the northern Gulf Friday heading northeast. Does it stay far enough south to preclude any meaningful precipitation? That is the big question and the trend is in that direction. If that ends up being the case the weekend could be mostly dry. However, we'll play the middle of the road game until the answer is clear. I have light rain to a wintry mix developing Friday night and continuing Saturday (mostly as rain) before ending as snow showers overnight into Sunday morning.

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