NWS Winter Weather Advisory (Avery County)

Current Conditions
Beech Mtn

Temp: 31.5°F

Forecast Last Updated at Saturday, February 28, 2015 at 5:05PM

Cold; A Little Icy Precip Late Tonight

Our weather pattern is in transition out of bitter cold, but as is often the case, it's going to be a bumpy process. Today is partly to mostly cloudy with temperatures continuing pretty cold for the last day of February. Tonight, moisture overrides this cold air from the south. From midnight to early Sunday morning, light precipitation develops in the form of light freezing rain (possibly mixing with snowflakes at the beginning). It will change to light rain early Sunday morning, with areas right along the Blue Ridge being the last to transition. Sunday is cloudy and a bit milder with spotty light rain, until mid- afternoon. Another round of light, spotty rain arrives late Sunday night into Monday morning.

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Saturday Hi: 35 Lo: 25 Becoming cloudy; Cold; Freezing rain around midnight, possibly beginning briefly as snow; SE wind 5-10 mph

Sunday Hi: 42 Lo: 37 Cloudy; Early light freezing rain, changing to spotty light rain quickly, ending in the afternoon; Light rain possible again late Sun. night; Light South wind (except SW 20-30 mph at higher elev's), becoming NW 10-20 mph Sun. night

Monday Hi: 42 Lo: 27 Generally cloudy; Spotty light AM rain; NW wind 10-20 mph, AM gusts to 45 mph, becoming light Mon. night

Tuesday Hi: 40 Lo: 39 Cloudy; Spotty light rain, possibly beginning as freezing rain; Warming temperatures overnight

Wednesday Hi: 41 Lo: 20 Cloudy; Rain developing; Turning colder Wed. night; Rain possibly changing to snow

Further Out

Thursday - Cloudy AM with snow showers or flurries; Colder; High in the lower 20s; Low near 10 degrees
Friday - Few clouds; Cold for March; High in the mid 20s; Low in the upper teens

Forecast Discussion

The center of arctic high pressure is moving east today and will be over New Jersey by late today. Skies today will be partly to mostly cloudy with cold temperatures continuing. Tonight, moisture and milder air will override the cold air in place near the surface producing a brief period of light freezing rain from midnight tonight into early Sunday morning. Precipitation could briefly mix with snow at the beginning.

Light freezing rain will transition to just spotty light rain early Sunday morning. Spotty light rain will be possible until mid-afternoon.

A cold front from the west arrives early Monday morning. Winds pick up from the northwest and another brief period of spotty light rain is possible late Sunday night into Monday morning. Monday is cloudy and cool, but mostly dry after that early light rain.

Another brief cold wedge develops Tuesday with moisture overrunning from the south. We'll have light afternoon and nighttime rain Tuesday (it could start as light freezing rain). Temperatures warm significantly Tuesday night.

Latest computer guidance greatly speeds up the next front compared to what was thought 12 hours ago. Wednesday will be cloudy with rain. Temperatures fall in the afternoon and at night, changing rain to snow showers Wednesday night.

Thursday will be cold with morning snow showers or flurries. Thursday night will be very cold. Friday has few clouds but cold temperatures.

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