Short Term Forecast - Avery (North Carolina)

Current Conditions
Beech Mtn

Temp: 34.0°F

Forecast Last Updated at Saturday, March 13, 2010 at 9:31AM

The "S" Word Returns, Clocks Forward Tonight

This week our weather has given us a break from using the "s" word in the normal winter context. Spring feeling and showers have been the popular usages of that as of late. Rains from the past 24 hours have swollen area creeks and rivers but the best rains have lifted North of us. Some brief breaks of sun in between the clouds will fill back in as more showers approach from the west.
Today we have an upper level Low drifting our way from the west. Its a game changer as it brings back cooler temperatures and snow showers to the area. Look for additional rain showers to return first with a gradual change to snow showers as early as late this afternoon above 5k and this evening and tonight in the remaining lower elevations. Clouds are going to be tough to shake until perhaps late next week! Details below...

Saturday Hi: 38 Lo: 30 Partly cloudy skies turn mostly cloudy; Cooler; Daytime rain showers mixing with & changing to snow on the mountaintops; Snow showers for most areas Saturday night; NW wind 10-20 mph

Sunday Hi: 32 Lo: 28 Spring Forward! Mostly cloudy & colder; A few snow showers or flurries, with some rain/drizzle in the valleys; NW wind 5-15 mph

Monday Hi: 32 Lo: 28 Still mostly gray; Leftover snow or rain showers (elevation dependent); Still chilly; gusty NW winds 15-25 mph

Tuesday Hi: 39 Lo: 29 Leftover early drizzle/flurries; Still lots of clouds; Temperatures still below normal

Wednesday Hi: 40 Lo: 30 Mostly cloudy; Seasonably cool; A few showers possible?

Further Out

Thursday - Becoming partly sunny; High in the lower 40s; Low near 30 degrees
Friday - Nice; High in the mid 40s; Low in the upper 20s

Forecast Discussion

A front that brought heavy rains yesterday and last night is pushing east but the rains are not over yet. The risk of flooding is not as big but creeks and rivers are swollen from this week's melting so watch out for additional heavier showers that re-develop this afternoon.

An impressive upper level low is moving through the Tennessee Valley and will ease its way overhead today. This will usher in colder air from above so the return of snow showers will unfold by Saturday afternoon across the higher elevations. Saturday night and Sunday, snow levels will drop to roughly 3,000 feet in elevation, allowing most folks to see a few snow showers. Some light accumulations of a few inches are possible at elevations above 5k feet through Sunday.

As the upper low pulls away, a slow moderation in temperatures will occur next week, although clouds will be difficult to shake. A system passing by to our south will spread more clouds into the area by midweek. We'll be watching for light rainfall potential and perhaps some high elevation snow showers as well. By next weekend, milder temperatures return ahead of a strong cold front. This could bring a strong round of showers and storms Sunday and more cold to follow for the last week of March.

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