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Forecast
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Current Conditions
Banner Elk

Temp: 77.2°F
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Banner Elk , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Wednesday, August 31, 2016 at 7:09AM

Change-a-comin

Finally today, the tropical system that has captured forecasters' attention gets a name (Hermine) in the Gulf of Mexico. (Here's your earworm for today... Change the Dolly Parton song, "Jolene" to "Hermine" and start singing it. It won't quit!) See the Forecast Discussion section for details on Hermine, but it will not directly affect our weather.
Wednesday is our last warm day for a while. Widely scattered afternoon and early evening showers and storms re-enter the forecast. Thursday has more clouds, temperatures 2-3 degrees less warm, and another round of PM showers and storms. The Labor Day Weekend has weather with "beauty beyond compare" to steal a line from "Hermine" ( formerly "Jolene").

Saturday morning will be a perfect morning for the The 17th Annual Mayview Madness 5K Run and Kids 1-Mile Fun Run in Blowing Rock, NC. The race is one of the most beautiful courses in the High Country. You'll enjoy great people, prizes, and post-race snacks. How perfect will the weather be? Check the RaysWeather.Com Hourly Forecast for the race.

The RWC Mobile App, the only weather app with real temperature data and custom forecasts for the Southern Appalachians. You need it... Android and Apple.

Wednesday

Hi: 79 Lo: 59

Increased afternoon cloudiness; Warm & humid; Widely scattered PM showers or storms; Light SE wind
Thursday

Hi: 76 Lo: 56

Partly to mostly cloudy; Widely scattered PM showers or t-showers; NW wind 5-15 mph
Friday

Hi: 70 Lo: 50

Morning cloudiness giving way to PM sunshine; A break from the warmth; NE wind 5-10 mph
Saturday

Hi: 72 Lo: 51

Sunny; Pleasant
Sunday

Hi: 74 Lo: 53

Sunny; Pleasant

Further Out

Monday - Generally clear; Perfect for Labor Day; High in the mid 70s; Low in the mid 50s
Tuesday - Sunny; A bit warmer; High in the upper 70s; Low in the upper 50s

Forecast Discussion

Today we'll start the discussion with the Tropical Atlantic. We have been talking about a storm in the Gulf for over a week. Today is the day it finally gets the name Hermine. It will strengthen as a tropical storm on its way to North Florida, arriving there Thursday night. It then crosses North Florida into SE Georgia and then hugs the SE coast. Most modelling keeps it as a tropical storm throughout; however, a period of time as a Category 1 hurricane is not out of the question. For completeness sake... the tropical low off Hatteras is not that big a deal; maybe it gets a name (Ian) after heading northeast of Hatteras. Gaston is a major hurricane, but no one cares? it's no threat to any land mass.

Closer to home...
A front approaches from the northwest and passes through here Thursday. Today is our last warm/humid day before we get about a 4-day break. (Summer is not over by any means.)

We'll have widely scattered showers and storms this afternoon and again Thursday afternoon. Showers and thundershowers could linger into the evening both days. Valleys touch the low 80s this afternoon for the last time in a while. Thursday will be 2-3 degrees less warm under more clouds.

Friday is the only real question mark in this forecast. A track on the western edge of current thinking will keep clouds over Western NC well into Friday and could produce spotty light showers. For now, we left that idea as the "minority report" and put no rain in the forecast box.

After that it's clear sailing with high pressure dominating the Eastern U. S. Pleasant temperatures and lower humidity dominates the Labor Day Weekend--absolutely PERFECT. Temperature creep up again next week.

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